BSG Wismut Aue vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 2
BWA
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
BWA
4 - 1
HAL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
BFC
5 - 0
BWA
88%
8%
4%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
BWA
2 - 2
MAG
19%
23%
57%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
SGD
1 - 2
BWA
86%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
CHE
3 - 0
ZWI
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
SVM
1 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
CHE
3 - 1
ERF
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
FVF
1 - 0
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
CHE
2 - 4
ROS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |