BSG Wismut Aue vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
BCB
2 - 0
BWA
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BWA
2 - 2
SGD
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
MAG
3 - 1
BWA
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BWA
2 - 3
BFC
28%
28%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 1
BWA
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 2
HAL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
CZJ
2 - 0
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BCB
1 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 2
SGD
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
MAG
5 - 1
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |