BSG Wismut Aue vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
BWA
2 - 1
FVF
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
MAG
6 - 0
BWA
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
BWA
1 - 1
CHL
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
SGD
5 - 1
BWA
79%
14%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
BWA
3 - 1
COT
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
CHE
2 - 2
MAG
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
CHL
1 - 3
CHE
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
CHE
0 - 2
SGD
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
COT
2 - 3
CHE
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
CHE
0 - 3
BFC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |