BSG Wismut Aue vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
VOW
2 - 0
BWA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
BWA
2 - 1
NEU
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ROS
1 - 2
BWA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SAC
2 - 2
BWA
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
BWA
1 - 0
CZJ
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
CHE
4 - 4
CHL
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SGD
4 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
SST
2 - 1
CHE
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
VOW
2 - 1
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
CHE
5 - 1
NEU
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |