BSG Wismut Aue vs SV Motor Altenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
WIS
1 - 1
BWA
39%
22%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
BWA
0 - 1
BSS
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BEP
1 - 4
BWA
27%
22%
52%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
BWA
4 - 1
ABS
39%
21%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
CHL
4 - 2
BWA
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SV Motor Altenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
BSA
0 - 2
ABS
28%
21%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 0
BSA
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BSA
0 - 3
SED
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ERF
0 - 0
BSA
72%
15%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
BSA
5 - 3
BFM
33%
22%
46%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |