BSG Wismut Aue vs BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BWA
4 - 0
HAL
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
SAC
0 - 0
BWA
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
BWA
3 - 1
BFC
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
CZJ
1 - 0
BWA
41%
23%
36%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
BWA
2 - 2
ERF
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BFW
3 - 0
SED
40%
23%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
BFW
1 - 1
VOW
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
LOK
2 - 0
BFW
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
BFW
3 - 1
ROS
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
HAL
2 - 4
BFW
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |