BSG Wismut Aue vs BSG Fortschritt Meerane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
3 - 1
ABS
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
VOW
3 - 2
BWA
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
1 - 0
BFC
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
2 - 2
ERF
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CHE
1 - 1
BWA
12%
19%
70%
|
81 | 33 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Meerane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
BFM
1 - 2
VOW
52%
20%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BFC
2 - 1
BFM
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BFM
0 - 2
LOK
68%
16%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ERF
5 - 0
BFM
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
BFM
2 - 2
CHE
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |