BSG Wismut Aue vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
SGD
2 - 0
BWA
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
LOK
1 - 0
BWA
75%
15%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
BWA
2 - 1
BSV
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
ERF
1 - 0
BWA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
BWA
2 - 0
MAG
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
BFC
2 - 1
FCU
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
BFC
2 - 1
FVF
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
BMS
0 - 8
BFC
10%
16%
74%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
ROS
1 - 5
BFC
15%
20%
66%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
BFC
1 - 2
SGD
70%
17%
13%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |