BSG Wismut Aue vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
CZJ
2 - 2
BWA
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
ZWI
3 - 1
BWA
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BWA
4 - 0
ERF
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
BWA
4 - 0
LAS
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ROS
3 - 0
BWA
42%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
BFC
2 - 0
SAC
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
BFC
1 - 0
ABS
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
LAS
0 - 2
BFC
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 2
BFC
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
BFC
5 - 3
MAG
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |