BSG Wismut Aue vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
ERF
3 - 3
BWA
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
BWA
2 - 0
ROS
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
BFW
2 - 1
BWA
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BWA
1 - 0
ABS
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
BWA
2 - 0
ZWI
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BFC
1 - 0
ZWI
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
ABS
3 - 1
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
LOK
0 - 2
BFC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BFC
4 - 0
BFW
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
BFC
1 - 2
VOW
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |