BSG Wismut Aue vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
CZJ
1 - 0
BWA
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
BWA
2 - 2
ERF
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1958 |
SED
2 - 2
BWA
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1958 |
BWA
3 - 0
BAB
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
BWA
0 - 2
VOW
68%
18%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
BFC
1 - 2
VOW
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
ZWI
1 - 1
BFC
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1958 |
ABS
1 - 0
BFC
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1958 |
BFC
2 - 1
CZJ
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
BFC
2 - 1
BAB
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |