BSG Wismut Aue vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
HAL
4 - 2
BWA
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
BWA
0 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
FVF
2 - 0
BWA
54%
21%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
ZWI
2 - 0
BWA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
BWA
2 - 0
ERF
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
FCU
1 - 0
ZWI
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
ERF
1 - 1
FCU
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
FCU
1 - 1
CHL
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
BFC
1 - 2
FCU
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
FCU
0 - 1
SGD
27%
30%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |