BSG Wismut Aue vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
BSS
0 - 1
BWA
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
BWA
1 - 1
SGD
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
SED
2 - 0
BWA
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
SVL
4 - 2
BWA
38%
22%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
BWA
2 - 0
BSS
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
FCU
2 - 0
ABS
27%
20%
52%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
FCU
2 - 3
CHL
30%
22%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
HAL
0 - 0
FCU
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
FCU
5 - 3
BEL
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ZWI
1 - 0
FCU
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |