BSG Stahl Thale vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Stahl Thale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
BEP
0 - 2
BSS
31%
22%
47%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
BSS
1 - 2
BAB
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
LIC
3 - 2
BSS
24%
21%
55%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
BSS
1 - 1
SCW
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BSS
3 - 5
SGD
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
BFM
2 - 1
WIS
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
WIS
1 - 1
SVD
33%
21%
46%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
BAB
5 - 0
WIS
64%
17%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
WIS
4 - 0
LIC
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
WIS
4 - 1
BEP
70%
16%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |