BSG Stahl Riesa vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1976 |
COT
0 - 3
BSG
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
BSG
0 - 1
BFC
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BSG
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
BSG
0 - 1
ERF
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
LOK
2 - 2
BSG
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1976 |
SGD
4 - 0
CZJ
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
HAL
0 - 1
SGD
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
SGD
3 - 0
CHE
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
BWA
0 - 0
SGD
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
SGD
2 - 0
MAG
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |