BSG Stahl Riesa vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
42%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BSG
1 - 3
LOK
24%
28%
49%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1986 |
BWA
2 - 0
BSG
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
BSG
3 - 0
FCU
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
BSV
3 - 0
BSG
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
SGD
2 - 0
BSG
77%
15%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
SGD
1 - 1
CZJ
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1986 |
CZJ
1 - 2
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
FVF
0 - 0
CZJ
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
CZJ
1 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
COT
3 - 1
CZJ
22%
28%
49%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | -1 |