BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels vs SC Einheit Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
LOK
2 - 1
BFW
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LAS
2 - 1
BFW
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
BFW
0 - 0
ERF
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1956 |
LOK
0 - 0
BFW
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
BAB
2 - 2
BFW
64%
18%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC Einheit Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
SED
4 - 2
LAS
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ABS
1 - 0
SED
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ROS
3 - 2
SED
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1956 |
SED
2 - 4
CHE
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
BFC
2 - 2
SED
52%
21%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |