BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SAC
6 - 0
BFW
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
BFW
2 - 0
BFC
52%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
BWA
3 - 0
BFW
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BFW
3 - 0
SED
40%
23%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
BFW
1 - 1
VOW
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
ERF
3 - 1
BAB
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ERF
2 - 2
SAC
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
CZJ
2 - 0
ERF
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BFC
0 - 2
ERF
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ABS
1 - 2
ERF
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |