BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BFW
59%
20%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
BFW
3 - 4
VOW
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
BAB
3 - 1
BFW
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BFW
3 - 1
LAS
59%
20%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
CHE
1 - 3
BFW
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
ERF
3 - 0
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
LAS
2 - 0
ERF
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
ABS
1 - 0
ERF
47%
23%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
ERF
1 - 0
VOW
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ERF
1 - 3
BWA
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |