BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
BFW
1 - 1
BWA
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
SED
1 - 4
BFW
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
BFW
0 - 2
LOK
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1957 |
BFW
1 - 1
SAC
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
ABS
1 - 2
BFW
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
CZJ
6 - 1
SED
44%
24%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
LAS
0 - 2
CZJ
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
29%
23%
49%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1957 |
CZJ
4 - 0
ZWI
30%
23%
48%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
CZJ
3 - 0
HAL
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |