BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
BWA
3 - 0
BFW
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BFW
3 - 0
SED
40%
23%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
BFW
1 - 1
VOW
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
LOK
2 - 0
BFW
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
BFW
3 - 1
ROS
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
SAC
2 - 0
BFC
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BFC
0 - 2
ERF
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
BFC
5 - 1
HAL
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
BWA
3 - 1
BFC
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
BFC
1 - 2
VOW
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |