BSG Fortschritt Meerane vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Meerane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
BFM
3 - 3
SGD
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
BFM
2 - 1
WIS
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
SCW
0 - 3
BFM
18%
19%
63%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BAB
5 - 1
BFM
38%
21%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
BFM
0 - 0
BSS
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BEP
1 - 1
LIC
70%
16%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
LIC
0 - 3
BAB
29%
22%
49%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
SGD
1 - 1
LIC
84%
10%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
LIC
3 - 2
BSS
24%
21%
55%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
SVD
3 - 0
LIC
92%
6%
2%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |