BSG Fortschritt Meerane vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Meerane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ROS
3 - 0
BFM
42%
22%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
BFM
4 - 1
ZWI
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SAC
3 - 2
BFM
59%
19%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
BFM
4 - 3
SED
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
BSS
1 - 1
BFM
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CHE
1 - 1
BWA
12%
19%
70%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VOW
2 - 2
CHE
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 81 | 48 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
CHE
0 - 2
ERF
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 84 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
LOK
0 - 2
CHE
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 1941 |
CHE
0 - 3
DRE
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |