UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Young Boys vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 3
YOB
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 1
LOK
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
LOK
1 - 4
YOB
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
YOB
4 - 1
SCH
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
GIR
3 - 3
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
LYO
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
CAE
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
NAN
2 - 2
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |