Young Boys vs Nordstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ZUR
4 - 1
YOB
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
YOB
2 - 0
SIO
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
SER
2 - 0
YOB
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
YOB
2 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STG
6 - 0
YOB
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
LAU
2 - 0
NOB
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
NOB
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
28%
46%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
SIO
1 - 1
NOB
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
NOB
0 - 5
SER
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
CHI
2 - 2
NOB
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |