Young Boys vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 0
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 1
YOB
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 3
YOB
17%
21%
62%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
YOB
5 - 1
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
YOB
3 - 2
STG
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 0
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
NEX
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
LUG
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |