Young Boys vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
STG
2 - 2
YOB
24%
26%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 0
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
YOB
0 - 1
CSK
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 3
YOB
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
STG
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 6
LUG
4%
11%
85%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 3
LUG
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |