Young Boys vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ZUR
4 - 1
YOB
74%
16%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
YOB
3 - 2
NEX
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
CSC
2 - 2
YOB
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
YOB
2 - 1
LAU
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
YOB
1 - 2
SER
29%
26%
44%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
BAS
7 - 0
LUG
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAC
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 4
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |