Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Young Boys vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
ERZ
0 - 0
YOB
37%
21%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 2
ERZ
70%
15%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1958 |
YOB
4 - 1
MTK
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1958 |
MTK
1 - 2
YOB
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
VAS
2 - 1
YOB
54%
21%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
ERZ
0 - 0
YOB
37%
21%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 2
ERZ
70%
15%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
ERZ
4 - 0
GÖT
32%
21%
48%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
GÖT
2 - 2
ERZ
76%
13%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
ERZ
4 - 0
PET
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +3 |