Young Boys vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
YOB
0 - 3
GCZ
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
YOB
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
YVE
0 - 3
YOB
19%
23%
57%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 3
MAR
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 3
YOB
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 4
STG
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |