Young Boys vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 2
YOB
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
THU
3 - 4
YOB
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCL
65%
19%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
SIO
3 - 1
YOB
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 3
GCZ
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
WIL
4 - 0
FCA
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |