Young Boys vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
ADO
2 - 1
YOB
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
LAU
2 - 0
YOB
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
YOB
2 - 2
BEL
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
GCZ
0 - 0
YOB
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
YOB
3 - 1
DAC
64%
19%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 1
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 3
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 0
LAU
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |