Young Boys vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 4
YOB
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
YOB
1 - 2
YVE
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 0
YOB
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
YOB
3 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
YVE
3 - 1
YOB
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 0
ETO
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 2
LUG
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
FCG
2 - 0
ETO
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 0
ETO
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ETO
1 - 3
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |