Young Boys vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
0 - 0
YOB
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
YOB
0 - 1
CSC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
SER
5 - 1
YOB
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
YOB
1 - 4
GCZ
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
YOB
2 - 2
GLA
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
CSC
1 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
ETO
2 - 3
GCZ
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
LAU
1 - 0
ETO
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
ETO
0 - 3
SIO
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
STG
2 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |