Young Boys vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
GCZ
3 - 3
YOB
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
YOB
3 - 0
SER
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 1
YOB
13%
19%
69%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
THU
1 - 3
YOB
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
YOB
5 - 3
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
STG
1 - 2
BAS
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAS
56%
22%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BAS
5 - 2
GCZ
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 3
NEW
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |