BSC Freiberg vs Hohenstein-Ernstthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
72.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSC Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
3 - 0
BSF
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BSG
0 - 2
BSF
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 1
SGT
34%
22%
45%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RFC
4 - 0
BSF
63%
19%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 5
FEN
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hohenstein-Ernstthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VBZ
1 - 4
VFL
11%
16%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
VFL
2 - 1
FCL
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VFL
3 - 1
BSG
6%
14%
80%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SGT
0 - 4
VFL
17%
19%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 1
RFC
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |