BSC Freiberg vs VfB Zwenkau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSC Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BSF
3 - 0
VFL
12%
16%
73%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
3 - 0
BSF
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BSG
0 - 2
BSF
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 1
SGT
34%
22%
45%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RFC
4 - 0
BSF
63%
19%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Zwenkau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VBZ
2 - 0
RFC
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VBZ
1 - 4
VFL
11%
16%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SGT
0 - 2
VBZ
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SVG
5 - 0
VBZ
90%
8%
3%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VBZ
0 - 3
FEN
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |