BSC Freiberg vs FC Grimma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSC Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VBZ
2 - 2
BSF
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BSF
3 - 2
FCL
10%
16%
75%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 2
BSG
6%
14%
80%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 0
BSF
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 2
HEI
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SVG
5 - 1
VFL
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SVG
3 - 2
SGT
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SVG
3 - 0
RFC
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 0
SVG
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SVG
3 - 1
VFL
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |