Bryne vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
RAU
1 - 4
BRY
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BRY
6 - 1
TRO
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
HOD
0 - 0
BRY
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
BRY
0 - 1
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ELP
2 - 0
BRY
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
SDF
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MOS
2 - 1
VAR
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RAU
0 - 1
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
TRO
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
NES
1 - 4
VAR
20%
21%
60%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |