Brussels vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brussels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BRU
1 - 0
ANT
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VWH
1 - 1
BRU
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BRU
0 - 0
OLY
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LEU
2 - 0
BRU
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRU
2 - 0
RSW
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 2
LIE
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
VWH
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
OLY
4 - 2
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
LEU
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
RSW
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |