Brusque vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
36.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 0
BRU
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
BRU
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 1
BRU
15%
18%
66%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 3
AVA
20%
25%
56%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 4
XVD
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
BAT
3 - 2
XVD
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
XVD
0 - 0
VOT
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |