Brusque vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
31%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
39%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 2
CRI
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRU
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
SPO
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAH
33%
29%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
SPO
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 0
SPO
38%
31%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |