Brusque vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
28.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
2º
2º
8
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 2
BRU
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 0
BRU
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 2
NAU
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 0
ALT
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 0
BRU
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
OPE
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAO
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
YPI
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
AFC
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |