Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 0-1
Brusque vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BRU
4 - 0
MAD
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRU
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
BRU
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
2 - 0
JMA
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 1
NOV
45%
29%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ECS
0 - 1
SAO
35%
29%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAO
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
VIL
68%
22%
10%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
SAO
17%
26%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |