Brusque vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
BRU
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 1
ATL
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 3
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
TUB
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 1
BRU
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
2 - 0
MET
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
MET
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |