Brusque vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
4 - 4
BRU
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 0
FFL
16%
23%
60%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
COR
10%
21%
68%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
INT
0 - 3
BRU
38%
24%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MET
1 - 4
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
2 - 2
MET
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MET
2 - 3
FFL
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
5 - 4
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 0
MET
82%
14%
4%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |