Brusque vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
BRU
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 0
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MET
2 - 1
BRU
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 1
CIA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 0
BRU
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MET
2 - 4
JUV
33%
27%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 2
MET
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MET
1 - 2
CIA
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MET
2 - 1
BRU
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |