Série D Brazil Final
Global 4-4
Brusque vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 0
ITU
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRU
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BRU
4 - 0
SDJ
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
BRU
33%
28%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 0
BOA
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
JAC
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
SOB
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SOB
4 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAX
23%
28%
49%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +4 |