Brusque vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRU
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
BRU
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
2 - 0
JMA
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 1
NOV
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 0
BRU
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 2
JMA
33%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAD
48%
27%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
JMA
2 - 0
MAD
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 0
BRU
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |