Brusque vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 2
BRU
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CEA
5 - 1
BRU
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 0
TOM
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 2
CEA
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 1
CHA
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 1
LON
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
LON
1 - 0
ECS
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LON
1 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LON
2 - 0
BOA
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 1
LON
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |